Super Eagles Given 7.3% Chance To Win AFCON 2025 Title

The Super Eagles of Nigeria have been handed a modest 7.3 per cent chance of lifting the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) title in 2025, according to fresh projections released by the Opta Supercomputer ahead of the tournament.

The data-driven forecast, published on December 15, places the Super Eagles outside the leading trio of favourites as the continent prepares for the kickoff of AFCON 2025 this weekend in Morocco. The competition will run until January 18, 2026, with matches spread across several Moroccan cities.

Opta’s analysis tips the host nation, Morocco, as the strongest contender for the trophy. The Atlas Lions have been given a 29.9 per cent probability of winning the tournament, reflecting their strong recent form, home advantage and depth across the squad.

Egypt are rated as the second most likely winners, with the Pharaohs assigned a 12.4 per cent chance. Senegal follows closely behind on 12.3 per cent.

Algeria and Nigeria complete the top five nations most likely to win AFCON 2025. Algeria have been given a 12 per cent chance, while the Super Eagles trail slightly behind with a 7.3 per cent probability of emerging champions.

The Super Eagles head into the tournament still carrying memories of the last edition, where they finished runners-up after losing 2-1 to the Ivory Coast in the final. The Ivorians, who are the defending champions, are placed behind Nigeria in the latest projections, alongside Tunisia, Mali, Cameroon and South Africa.