The CBN governor, Mr. Godwin Emefiele has assured Nigerians that the country will move out of the current recession before the end of the year 2017.
He also blamed the economic recession in Nigeria on overdependence on importation of goods from other countries.
The CBN boss noted that the idea of importing almost all that the country consumes was responsible for the current recession. “How do we justify the importation of items like apple, cucumber and eggs?’’from South Africa; beef from Zambia and toothpicks from China?
“These are items we can locally produce and used money in importing these items to beef up local industries that will in turn create employments for our youths.
Mr. Godwin Emefiele, spoke at the weekend while delivering a lecture entitled: “The Dilemma of Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Management in a Recession: Potential Options for Nigeria,” at the University of Nigeria, Nsukka.
He expressed optimism that with all the interventions of the Federal Government, the CBN and other authorities, “the country will be out of recession before the end of 2017.”
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According to Emefiele, if Nigeria maintains a continuous increase its level of growth at the moment, then it would be out of recession by the end of 2017.
“In January 2017, inflation was 18.8 per cent, it is now down to 16.24 per cent. Last quarter, which was fourth quarter of 2016 growth, was negative 1.72 per cent. First quarter of 2017 growth had improved to negative 1.52 per cent.
“What that means is that we have an improvement in growth by about 1.2 per cent. If we see another 1.2 per cent growth in the second quarter we are out of recession.”
He also emphasized the need to revisit agriculture which used to be the main stay of Nigeria’s economy before the discovery of oil.
“with support for local farmers and private sector investments in agriculture, I believe that barring any other shock the prices of foodstuff in the markets will come down.”
“In those good days the South East and South South were known for palm oil, the South West for cocoa and the North for groundnut but with the advent of oil we abandoned agriculture.’’
“We must take cognizance of the fact that imports are leakages to every economy.” The CBN governor said the apex bank was aware of the pains Nigerians are going through as a result of the economic recession and said this is the opportunity needed to look inward to diversify the economy and come out of the recession stronger.